JHEEM Modeling Analysis
Projected Aging Among
People with HIV
By 2040, the median age of adults with diagnosed HIV across 24 US states will rise from 51 to 62 years. State-level patterns vary substantially: more populous, urban states with older epidemics will age significantly, while rural states with younger populations may see little change.
This interactive tool allows you to explore how aging dynamics differ by state and demographic group, informing planning for age-related comorbidities among people living with HIV.
Representing 86% of diagnosed HIV cases in the US
Median age by 2040
Aged 65+ by 2040
About these plots: Black lines show the mean across 1,000 model simulations. Orange shaded regions represent 95% credible intervals. Green dots indicate CDC surveillance data. The dashed vertical line marks 2021, the last year of available surveillance data.
Diagnosed Prevalence
Total
New Diagnoses
Total
Research Funding
& Institutional Support
This research is supported by grants from the National Institute of Mental Health, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and the National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities.
Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
Computational Epidemiology Research Group
Advancing mathematical modeling for HIV prevention and control